L'arithmétique de la nomination démocrate

Je n'ai pas fait autant d'arithmétique depuis fort longtemps, mais la question de savoir qui a l'avantage dans la course à la nomination démocrate me taraude depuis quelque peu, donc je m'y suis remise. Petit aveu: c'est un des rares sujets (avec les Lions Indomptables) dont Christelle refuse de discuter avec moi:) Revenons en à notre décompte. Qui mène qui et sur quoi? Obama l'emporte t'il dans le nombre de superdélégués et Hillary aurait-elle de l'avance dans le vote populaire? Que ce soit CNN, le New York Times etc... force est de constater que les différentes sources donnent des infos non concordantes. Quoiqu'il en soit, je vous invite à lire l'article de Hendrik Kertzberg du magazine The New Yorker : eights ways of counting the popular vote.

Cela nous éclaire sur la complexité d'un système de nomination, mais ne résoud pas le schmilblick. Le site de la convention démocrate fait très fort dans l'explication.

If neither candidate reaches a majority of delegate votes on the first ballot for president, the nomination and the race for delegates becomes competitive.

Sans blague!

p.s conclusion de mon petit comptage perso : attendons le mois d'Août et nous saurons qui des deux perdra en Novembre face à un McCain qui aura eu amplement le temps de se préparer. Oooops, Christelle va me finir...

Tags: , , ,

Commentaires

Enregistrer un commentaire

Posts les plus consultés de ce blog

There are things we don't want to happen, but have to accept. Jennifer "JJ" Jareau

Image
The Jennifer "JJ"Jareau principle In the critically acclaimed US TV Show Criminal Minds , Jennifer "JJ"Jareau a.k.a "JJ" quoted nicely her exit interview in the 2nd episode of the 6th Season.  Here's what I named it the Jennifer "JJ" Jareau principle. I'm thankful for my years spent with this family; for everything we shared, every chance we had to grow.  I'll take the best of them and lead by their example; where ever I go.  A friend told me to be honest with you, so here it goes.  This isn't what I want, but I'll take the high road.  Maybe it's because I look at everything as a lesson, or I don't want to walk around angry.  Or maybe it's because I finally understand.  There are things we don't want to happen, but have to accept; things we don't want to know, but have to learn, and people we can't live without, but have to let go. As you can see, ...
Lire la suite

This isn't what I want, but I'll take the high road. | JJ Principle (1)

Image
Take the High Road. I am sure several ones of you have heard it before tossed at like a wisdom nugget, and have wondered "which road is that ?" or worse, should you have been too stunned or lost, your mouth merely expulsed two words "come again ?" Truth be told, it's one of these sentences that are thrown away when a conflict arises, but on which, few can give a precise defintion. I'll try my best to remedy to that.   So what does "Take the high road" really means ? John C. Maxwell theorized The High Road Principle gives us a good explanation by stating that there are three roads or options that we can take in life:   The low road : where we treat people worse than they treat us. The middle road : where we treat people the same as they treat us The high road : where we treat people better than they treat us Let's ponder the options set out by Mr Maxwell 1. The Low Road If treated poorly, one reaction co...
Lire la suite