Le Web en 2007 : predictions et questions ouvertes

En cette fin d'année, l'heure est a la dinde ou au ndole selon votre emplacement sur le globe et vos habitudes festives. L'heure est aussi aux prédictions en tous genres sur l'année qui vient : objectifs, résolutions, tous a nos boules de Crystal pour déceler quelque indice dans cet avenir si proche et si mystérieux. Trêves de conjectures : que nous réserve 2007 sur le plan des tendances du Net?

J'y vais de mes propres prédictions:
  • l'emergence des widgets pour le web. Ces widgets simplifient amplement la construction et l'agencement d'un site web, d'un blog en ce qu'ils modularisent le site en petites briques qu'il devient aise d'ajouter, modifier, structurer au gré des besoins de l'auteur. Plus d'autonomie pour l'utilisateur qui peut ainsi définir son site avec du contenu propre (texte ou morceau de code), ou du contenu externe (provenant d'un autre site ou d'un fournisseur de contenu).
  • la vulgarisation et la plus grande ouverture des médias sociaux sur le modèle des blogs, des podcasts, mais aussi des sites du type MySpace, Facebook ou LastFm.
  • Le marche de la recherche immobilière en ligne qui promet d'exploser avec des sites du type zillow.com.
  • L'internationalisation du web en grande parties grace aux nouveaux médias que sont les blogs et les podcasts. Cette internationalisation présenterait une opportunité énorme pour le web africain. Les blogroll sudafricains kenyans et nigerians montrant deja pour leur part un grand dynamisme qu'il convient d'imiter a travers le continent.
  • L'ouverture que permettent les medias citoyens ne va pas sans susciter des questions qui ont toute leur importance; Ethan Zuckermann les resumant ainsi : "How do we help more people become creators of their own media? What kind of outreach can Web 2.0-savvy citizens provide to the still-uninitiated? How do we bridge massive and endless barriers of language and culture? Are the technical tools accessible enough to the next billion Internet users, or are we in need of new solutions better suited to the developing world? And how about people who are being prevented from speaking - or being heard - by governments, corporations, and other powerful entities?" La création du contenu et l'internationalisation du web ne réussira que si en aval de cette production, il y a des consommateurs de ce nouveau type d'informations. En ce sens, je trouve la formule du site GlobalVoices très forte, très vraie, très engageante: "the world is talking. Are you listening?" Je reprends le dessin trouve sur le site d'Ethan, il résume pertinemment la polémique suscitée par la couverture du Time Magazine sur "la personne de l'année 2006".


De manière globale, Richard Mac Manus de ReadWriteWeb y va de ses predictions sur le Web 2007. Revue de détail ici.
L'article de Mac Manus est un peu long, mais tres riche et somme toute intéressant. Le résumé se trouve sur le blog de Don Dodge
  • "RSS will go mainstream
  • Structured data will be a big trend
  • Widgets will continue rising in 2007
  • Web Office will continue to ramp up
  • The consumerization of the enterprise will infiltrate corporate IT
  • Rich Internet Apps will be a major force
  • Google in particular will continue to push the boundaries of browser-based apps
  • Semantic Web products will come of age
  • Expect more big things from Amazon
  • Expect some shakeups in the online advertising market
  • Online ad models will improve / evolve
  • Search 2.0 and the rise of the vertical search engines
  • Microsoft’s Windows Live services will gain real momentum
  • Google may come out with some form of GoogleOS
  • Open Source Desktops will continue to gain momentum
  • Browser competition between IE7 and FireFox (plus Flock, Opera and Maxthon)
  • Expect Safari compatibility to rise sharply in 2007
  • Internet-based TV will ramp up in 2007
  • Peer-to-Peer will gain momentum again
  • SecondLife - an important platform for marketing, promotion, social networking
  • Virtual Money: Paypal showed the way, SecondLife LindeX, Microsoft points etc.
  • The online real estate market will grow rapidly in ‘07
  • The search for disruptive business models will continue!
  • Social networks will probably also become more open
  • International Web will finally start to get its due in mainstream media
  • One Laptop Per Child may increase the adoption of thin-client like computers
  • Broadband continues to grow
  • VoIP space will really hot up
  • Mobile Web may be the big story of 2007
  • Mobile will be a bigger development and advertising platform in ‘07
  • Webphone market - for example Apple’s rumored iPhone and a GooglePhone"
Alors qui au raison? L'avenir nous le dira. Rendez-vous en Décembre 2007 pour faire le bilan. Affaire a suivre!

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